Less and less to know Who will be the Champions League champion. After the first leg of the semifinals of the maximum continental competition, THE OPTA SUPERORN He has changed the result of his calculations again. According to their predictions, taking into account the results of this week's meetings, It would be the PSG that would rise with the title in Munich on May 31.
For the OPTA computer machine, the spectacular reaction of Barcelona does not work to match a meeting that began losing 0-2 against Inter. In fact, The probabilities granted by Hansi Flick have decreased Regarding the previous calculations. If before the first leg they had 27.4% of options to take the trophy, now, after the draw at 3 in the first semifinal match, The statistical model gives Barcelona a 25.8% chance to win. They are the second team with more options for this statistical model.
Inter, meanwhile, has increased its options to get the Champions League. According to the super -terrorist, the Italian team has a 20.2% probabilitieswhen before they had 19.2% of finishing champions. Although the semifinal travels to Milan with equal score and everything to decide, The field factor and the good image of the Neroazzurri in Barcelona They improve their projection in the field of statistics.
The percentages of opting to win the Champions League.
The PSG unbuts Arsenal as a favorite
The most affected by the new supercomputer calculations is Arsenal. The Arteta team was the favorite after imposing Real Madrid in the quarterfinals, with a forceful 31.3% probabilities. Now, after falling defeated by 0-1 in London thanks to a Dembélé goal, The 'gunners' fall to the fourth place in terms of options to win the Champions Leagueand they stay alone with a 12.1% probabilities.
This leaves as great favorite, at least for statistics, to Paris Saint-Germain. Luis Enrique's already had considerable 22% of winning options, but, Being the only ones who arrive with advantage to the second legthey become the simulations of opting in the great favorites to take the trophy in Munich, even more if one takes into account that the return is in Paris. Its current probabilities are 41.9%.
How the OPTA Superorder works
The computing machine of this data analysis company makes a Estimation of the probabilities of each possible result in each party Based on several metrics, which include the quotes of the betting houses and the Power Rankings of OPTA. These, in turn, They are based on the actions of each team, both historical and recent. The probabilities are extracted from the computation of 10,000 simulations of all the remaining matches of the competition for each team.
